Plenty of swell and surf days to continue

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Southern Tasmanian Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday March 29th)

Best Days: Tomorrow morning, Sunday, Monday morning, Thursday morning, Friday morning

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

  • Good SW groundswell building tomorrow, peaking in the PM, easing Sun
  • Light N/NW winds, with fresh S/SE sea breezes tomorrow, similar but weaker sea breezes Sun
  • Smaller Mon with N/NW tending S/SE winds
  • Strong NW tending S/SW winds late AM Tue
  • Moderate sized SW swell Wed-Fri with strong S/SW winds Wed, W/NW tending S/SE Thu, N/NW tending E/NE Fri

Recap

Yesterday's pulse of SW swell came in stronger than expected with good 2-3ft sets reported across Clifton, still a good 2ft+ this morning.

This weekend and next week (Mar 30 – Apr 5)

There are plenty more surf days to come over the weekend, with today's energy due to be replaced by some new SW groundswell tomorrow, generated by a healthy fetch of NW gales projecting south-east towards the polar shelf earlier in the week.

This should kick the swell back to 2-3ft during tomorrow (possibly a touch undersized early), easing Sunday.

A light N/NW offshore is due tomorrow morning ahead of strengthening S/SE sea breezes,

N/NW again on Sunday though with weaker sea breezes.

The swell should be easing back from the 2ft+ range, smaller into Monday under W/NW tending weak S/SE winds.

Into Tuesday it looks like we'll see a temporary low point in swell with early N winds ahead of a trough bringing a strong S/SW change early morning.

The trough will be related to a front spawning off a flurry of healthy polar frontal activity along the shelf from Sunday through most of next week.

We should see moderate levels of mid-period SW swell energy from Wednesday through next week and weekend, but with initially poor winds, strong from the S/SW on Wednesday, back to the W/NW Thursday morning ahead of S/SE sea breezes.

Friday looks similar though with E/NE sea breezes.

N'ly winds look to persist next weekend with plenty of swell, but more on this Monday. Have a great weekend!