Eastern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Steve Shearer (issued Wed Apr 17th)

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Tiny surf Thurs
• Small S swell Fri withS’ly winds
• Offshore winds this weekend with small S swells both days
• More small S pulses Mon AM, and Tues
• Possible NE swell later next week, low confidence, check back Fri for latest updates

Recap

Only small surf the last couple of days with today in the 2ft range and light winds tending N’ly. 

This week and next week (Apr17 - Apr26)

No great change to the f/cast outlook this week. We’ve got a monster high (1033hPa) in the Bight and a weaker high cell in the Tasman, with some small troughs of low pressure lingering about the coastline. We’ll see a frontal intrusion Thurs bring mod/fresh SW/S winds before a new high pressure ridge quickly fills in behind the front.

In the short run offshore winds before the front, tending SW/S in the a’noon with tiny surf expected.

We will see some short range south swell develop on Friday, but strong southerly winds will hamper wave quality. Expect size in the 3ft range at S exposed breaks but very messy.

Into the weekend and we will see conditions improve as a high moves to the north of the island and fronts to the south bring about westerly ridging. Not much swell to work with though, small S swells both days. Mostly short range S to 2ft or less Sat with some small long period wrap on Sun offering up the occ. 2ft set through the day. At least conditions will be clean.

Zonal fronts bring offshore winds and small S swell wrap

Small to start next week as high pressure moves into the Tasman. Sundays pulse extends into Mon with light winds. Another strong but poorly positioned front brings a small pulse of S swell wrap into Tues with sets to 2-3ft at S facing beaches. 

Further ahead and we may see a dynamic situation unfold next week in the Coral Sea with uncertain Surf potential for Tasmania as a large High in the Tasman and a trough moving south from the Coral Sea generate a NE infeed and bring North East swell to Tasmania later next week, there’s a lot of model divergence so check back Friday and will see how it’s shaping up

Seeya then!